External shocks, consumption-smoothing and capital mobility in India: evidence from an intertemporal optimization approach

Garg, Bhavesh and K P, Prabheesh (2018) External shocks, consumption-smoothing and capital mobility in India: evidence from an intertemporal optimization approach. Applied Economics. pp. 1-16. ISSN 0003-6846 (In Press)

Full text not available from this repository. (Request a copy)

Abstract

We examine the solvency of India’s current account (CA) in the post-liberalization period using intertemporal optimization approach to the CA. Using quarterly data ranging from 1996Q1 to 2014Q2, we estimate a benchmark consumption-smoothing model and an extended model that incorporates external shocks. Overall, we find that the predicted optimal CA in both the models can track the actual CA movements and the extended model performs better over the benchmark model. Further, we also find that the optimal CA is more volatile than the actual CA which implies that the capital flows have been less than optimal and thus makes an interesting case for further liberalization of the capital account. Our findings suggest that policies aimed at further liberalization of capital flows will allow larger CA deficits to achieve higher economic growth since it will help agents to further smoothen their consumption without worrying about risks associated with insolvency.

[error in script]
IITH Creators:
IITH CreatorsORCiD
K P, PrabheeshUNSPECIFIED
Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: consumption-smoothingcurrent accountIndiaintertemporal approachPresent value modelsolvency
Subjects: Social sciences > Political Science & Economics
Divisions: Department of Liberal Arts
Depositing User: Team Library
Date Deposited: 16 May 2018 09:38
Last Modified: 16 May 2018 09:38
URI: http://raiith.iith.ac.in/id/eprint/3929
Publisher URL: http://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1467554
OA policy: http://www.sherpa.ac.uk/romeo/issn/0003-6846/
Related URLs:

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item
Statistics for RAIITH ePrint 3929 Statistics for this ePrint Item